Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 5 July 2026 at 07:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 79 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 10 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued July 4 at 10:04AM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL
Urban PEI: 19,103 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- July 3, 2026 · score 34 · 13.8 km
- August 29, 2026 · score 34 · 14.1 km
- July 19, 2026 · score 34 · 14.1 km
How we know
4 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.90/1 |
| Coordinates | 39.9813, -90.4154 |
| Nearest City | Jacksonville (32 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 19.1K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-04T15:04:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.634330af2e122322d42361ee773547f5 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-04T15:04:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-07-04T15:37:01.948Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Brown, IL; Cass, IL; Morgan, IL; Schuyler, IL; Cass, IL; Fulton, IL; Mason, IL; Brown, IL and 2 more areas |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued July 4 at 10:04AM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL |
| Expires | 2026-07-05T02:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Lincoln IL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 5 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.634330af2e122322d42361ee773547f5e671b536.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.634330af2e122322d42361ee773547f5e671b536.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2449620d3b4db4d6b2ec304d0cb37159db85d1c9.004.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2449620d3b4db4d6b2ec304d0cb37159db85d1c9.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2449620d3b4db4d6b2ec304d0cb37159db85d1c9.003.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | R |
| Iem Magnitude | 1.52 |
| Iem Unit | Inch |
| Iem City | New Holland |
| Iem County | Logan |
| Iem State | IL |
| Iem Wfo | ILX |
| Iem Remark | Cocorahs station IL-LG-38 New Holland. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_R_40.000_-90.370_1783174200000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783174200000,"latitude":40,"longitude":-90.37},{"id":"iem_R_40.300_-90.000_1783170000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783170000000,"latitude":40.3,"longitude":-90},{"id":"iem_R_40.180_-89.580_1783166400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783166400000,"latitude":40.18,"longitude":-89.58}] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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